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2006-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
ELO 81.1% 18.9% -
Bradley-Terry 72.2% 27.8% -
Margin 80.7% 19.3% -7.9 (32.1 off)
Pythagorean 58.6% 41.4% -

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -40 (45-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
A. Bales 0 4-8 - 3-6 8 11 11
C. Gay 0 2-3 - 3-4 10 7 14
W. Smith 0 1-6 -1 4-4 6 6 6
E. Waner 0 1-4 1-3 2-2 5 1
L. Harding 0 7-11 2-3 3-4 2 19 10

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
H. Zurich 0 1-4 -2 - 2 -2
K. Vaughn 0 -9 -1 5-6 13 5 9
B. Ray 0 -4 -4 - 1 -3
K. Adams 0 1-2 - - 1 2 1
E. Carson 0 1-5 - -2 2 2 -1

* = starter