Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Green | 37 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| L. Humphrey | 35 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| W. Hodge | 32 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Noah | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| A. Horford | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Richard | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Mitchell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Werner | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Speights | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thornton | 35 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 20 | - |
| I. Swann | 33 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Rich | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Douglas | 26 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| U. Echefu | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Reid | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Mims | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Allen | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Breeden | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter