Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +19 (81-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.