Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.4 | ✗ (33.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -32 (65-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.