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2006-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 63.3% 36.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 43.9% 56.1% +1.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% -
Log Adjusted 27.2% 72.8% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -10 (77-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pargo 39 6-8 1-2 5-6 4 6 2 0 4 18 18 -
D. Raivio 38 9-19 7-14 2-2 3 4 1 0 2 27 14 -
J. Heytvelt 27 6-11 1-2 0-0 12 2 0 2 1 13 17 -
M. Bouldin 27 2-7 2-4 2-2 3 4 0 0 3 8 5 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 22 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 5 7 -
S. Mallon 21 3-6 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
A. Kuso 13 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 1 2 4 4 -
D. Pendergraft 13 2-5 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
W. Foster 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Durant 37 8-18 3-7 10-10 9 1 1 1 5 29 18 -
J. Mason 35 7-11 3-5 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 17 15 -
A.J. Abrams 34 3-17 1-11 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 7 -5 -
D.J. Augustin 32 2-7 1-2 2-2 5 3 1 0 4 7 5 -
D. James 20 2-4 0-1 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
M. Hill 17 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
C. Atchley 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -
J.D. Lewis 8 2-3 2-3 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
D. Pittman 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
C. Winder 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter