Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Crawford | 35 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 5 | - |
| R. Bradley | 35 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Morris | 31 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| B. Perry | 25 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Thomas | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Jasper | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| J. Meeks | 10 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Porter | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Carter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 30 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| R. Terry | 27 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| T. Lawson | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| B. Wright | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| W. Ellington | 24 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Frasor | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Thompson | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Green | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Miller | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter