🐻⬇️🏀

@
2006-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 56.3% 43.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 2.0% 98.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% -
Log Adjusted 10.1% 89.9% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford 35 5-12 0-5 4-5 8 2 0 0 7 14 5 -
R. Bradley 35 1-7 1-4 4-5 2 3 2 0 2 7 5 -
R. Morris 31 11-12 0-0 1-3 7 0 0 3 3 23 18 -
B. Perry 25 5-8 2-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 12 9 -
S. Thomas 23 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 2 3 -
D. Jasper 17 0-1 0-1 1-4 2 4 2 0 3 1 5 -
P. Stevenson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 0 7 -
J. Meeks 10 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -4 -
M. Porter 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Carter 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Obrzut 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hansbrough 30 2-10 0-0 3-6 3 1 2 0 1 7 2 -
R. Terry 27 5-12 4-6 2-2 9 3 2 1 1 16 18 -
T. Lawson 27 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 7 2 0 2 5 10 -
B. Wright 27 7-12 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 0 16 12 -
W. Ellington 24 6-14 3-8 2-2 1 2 2 0 2 17 6 -
M. Ginyard 17 0-2 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 1 2 2 4 -
B. Frasor 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Thompson 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Green 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. Miller 8 1-2 1-2 3-4 1 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
A. Stepheson 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter