Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +12 (84-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frazier | 39 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| W. Carter | 33 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| R. McBride | 31 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| C. Brock | 31 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Meacham | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Arnold | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Jackson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hicks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Shakur | 40 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| M. Williams | 37 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 7-13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 12 | - |
| I. Radenovic | 37 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Budinger | 36 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| J. McClellan | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| B. Brielmaier | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Dillon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter