Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diane | 38 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| S. Singletary | 34 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 34 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Joseph | 30 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Soroye | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Pettinella | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Cain | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| W. Harris | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Tucker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Teague | 38 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. Lutz | 35 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| C. Landry | 29 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| G. Watt | 27 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Crump | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Green | 18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Grant | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Vandervieren | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Riddell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Uchendu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter