Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +9 (98-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Lewis | 36 | 11-16 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 16 | - |
| J. Butler | 29 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Cook | 28 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Conley | 27 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Lighty | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Terwilliger | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| I. Harris | 18 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| O. Hunter | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 31 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| W. Ellington | 28 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Lawson | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6-12 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| R. Terry | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Wright | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| B. Frasor | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Green | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| W. Miller | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Thompson | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter