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Indiana Hoosiers 51
@
Duke Blue Devils 54
2006-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 19.1% 80.9% - ✓
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.9 ✓ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - ✓
Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.6% 69.4% - ✓

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +3 (54-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. White 38 3-11 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 3 2 7 5 -
A. Bassett 37 6-15 4-5 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 16 8 -
M. White 25 1-4 0-0 2-7 8 0 1 1 2 4 8 -
E. Suhr 24 2-4 0-2 1-1 2 2 2 0 4 5 3 -
J. Shaw 24 3-3 0-0 3-5 1 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
B. Allen 16 1-6 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
E. Calloway 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
R. Wilmont 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
A.J. Ratliff 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 2 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McRoberts 38 2-8 0-2 3-4 7 1 2 1 0 7 10 -
J. Scheyer 36 2-10 1-5 5-6 3 4 3 0 3 10 7 -
D. Nelson 33 6-10 3-6 4-7 6 1 2 2 4 19 16 -
D. McClure 24 2-4 1-1 1-2 3 0 2 3 0 6 10 -
G. Henderson 22 0-2 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 1 1 3 5 -
G. Paulus 20 1-4 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 5 2 -
L. Thomas 18 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
B. Zoubek 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
M. Pocius 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter