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2006-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 33.3% 66.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% -
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% -
Log Adjusted 75.4% 24.6% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -8 (70-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Fazekas 35 12-19 2-4 2-2 15 1 1 2 5 28 23 -
M. Kemp 32 4-13 1-4 2-4 4 4 0 0 2 11 4 -
R. Sessions 29 4-8 1-1 7-8 6 3 0 0 1 16 16 -
K. Shiloh 29 2-6 2-6 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 6 6 -
D. Ellis 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 2 7 -
L. Burleson 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 5 0 0 2 3 3 -
D. Ikovlev 18 2-4 1-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
J. McGee 9 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
T. Hanson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Fields 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. LaGrone 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Angley 31 4-16 0-6 1-1 2 7 2 0 0 9 4 -
S. Denison 30 10-11 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 1 0 23 17 -
J. Bryant 29 4-8 0-0 2-2 11 2 0 3 1 10 17 -
D. Pariseau 29 6-12 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 13 4 -
S. Dougherty 22 3-4 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
M. Henke 12 0-4 0-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 1 1 -
S. Lamar 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
B. Rohe 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
T. Parham 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Johnson 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Latimer 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Kaempf 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter