Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | +1.8 | ✓ (26.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +28 (75-47). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richards * | 40 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Thomas Sander * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Max Paulhus Gosselin * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Boris Meno * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Andrew Lovedale | 28 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Will Archambault | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Steve Rossiter | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| John Falconi | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryant Barr | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dan Nelms | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lamar Hull | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh McRoberts * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Jon Scheyer * | 28 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| DeMarcus Nelson * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Lance Thomas * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Greg Paulus | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| David McClure | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Brian Zoubek | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Martynas Pocius | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Davidson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Steve Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Sutton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter