Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Tennessee Volunteers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee Volunteers -14 (87-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wright | 29 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 29 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 11-15 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 25 | - |
| R. Terry | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | - |
| T. Lawson | 25 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| W. Ellington | 22 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Frasor | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Green | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Tennessee Volunteers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lofton | 30 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| D. Bradshaw | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D. Crews | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Smith | 21 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| J. Howell | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Smith | 20 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| W. Chism | 19 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Tabb | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Passley | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. Childress | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter