Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✗ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -11 (62-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McNeal | 37 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| D. James | 34 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| O. Barro | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| W. Matthews | 30 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Fitzgerald | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Cubillan | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| L. Hayward | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Burke | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Lott | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Blackledge | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nelson | 37 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| J. McRoberts | 35 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| G. Paulus | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 30 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| L. Thomas | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. McClure | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Pocius | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Henderson | 5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter