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2006-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 8.4% 91.6% -
Bradley-Terry 22.2% 77.8% -
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.3 (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% -
Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.5% 89.5% -
Log Adjusted 10.3% 89.7% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -11 (62-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McNeal 37 7-17 0-2 3-6 6 2 6 0 4 17 10 -
D. James 34 9-15 2-4 5-6 3 7 1 0 1 25 20 -
O. Barro 32 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 8 9 -
W. Matthews 30 2-9 1-2 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
D. Fitzgerald 22 3-7 1-3 1-3 5 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
D. Cubillan 19 1-3 1-3 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
L. Hayward 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Burke 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Lott 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
L. Blackledge 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nelson 37 5-12 3-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 13 3 -
J. McRoberts 35 4-16 0-1 7-8 8 4 0 2 3 15 10 -
G. Paulus 32 2-4 1-2 2-2 0 2 4 0 6 7 3 -
J. Scheyer 30 0-5 0-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
L. Thomas 29 3-4 0-0 3-3 7 0 1 0 1 9 12 -
D. McClure 13 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
B. Zoubek 13 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 8 7 -
M. Pocius 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
G. Henderson 5 0-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -

* = starter