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2006-11-21

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% -
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 85.5% 14.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% -
Log Adjusted 68.0% 32.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -5 (68-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shipp 36 3-6 0-2 3-5 6 3 1 0 1 9 12 -
A. Afflalo 33 5-18 1-8 3-3 4 2 0 0 0 14 2 -
L. Mbah a Moute 31 8-12 0-1 2-5 5 1 1 0 2 18 11 -
D. Collison 30 4-8 1-3 1-2 3 7 3 0 3 10 12 -
L. Mata-Real 27 5-10 0-0 2-5 11 0 0 0 2 12 11 -
M. Roll 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Aboya 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
R. Westbrook 9 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
R. Wright 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
J. Keefe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford 36 6-13 3-6 1-1 3 5 0 1 3 16 9 -
D. Jasper 34 2-5 0-1 8-12 9 4 3 1 4 12 20 -
B. Perry 24 0-5 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Bradley 23 2-6 2-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 8 2 -
R. Morris 21 5-9 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 2 2 11 7 -
P. Stevenson 17 3-3 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 1 1 10 11 -
S. Thomas 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Meeks 15 2-6 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -3 -
M. Porter 12 1-2 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
L. Obrzut 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter