Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -5 (68-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shipp | 36 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Afflalo | 33 | 5-18 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | - |
| L. Mbah a Moute | 31 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| D. Collison | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| L. Mata-Real | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Roll | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Aboya | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Westbrook | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Wright | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Keefe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Crawford | 36 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Jasper | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 20 | - |
| B. Perry | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Bradley | 23 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| R. Morris | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Thomas | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Meeks | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| M. Porter | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter