Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Welch | 38 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Anderson | 37 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 36 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 35 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. McCraw | 29 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| A. Henke | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Frye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McRoberts | 39 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 37 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Nelson | 35 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| G. Paulus | 34 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 3 | - |
| L. Thomas | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| D. McClure | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| G. Henderson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Pocius | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter