Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +12 (72-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 37 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| A. Haluska | 32 | 2-13 | 0-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6 | - |
| S. Gorney | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Freeman | 23 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 22 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Looby | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| J.R. Angle | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Tate | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Wessels | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Crawford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Bohall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Steele | 38 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| J. Davidson | 36 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | - |
| A. Gee | 35 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| R. Hendrix | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Riley | 19 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Jemison | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Torrance | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter