Model Predictions
| Model | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.1% | 98.9% | +32.7 | ✓ (20.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +38.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +53 (103-50). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky McPhee * | 37 | 1-12 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -10 | - |
| Chris Gash * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Takayo Siddle * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Jake Sims * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Auryn MacMillan * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Samba Fall | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Thomas Sanders | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Wesley Mincey | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Clint Graham | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Selden Edwards | 7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Grayson Flittner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Matt French | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jesse Wheeler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 24 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 24 | 8-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| R. Terry * | 18 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Bobby Frasor * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Ginyard | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ty Lawson | 17 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Wes Miller | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Quentin Thomas | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Deon Thompson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Alex Stepheson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mike Copeland | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Surry Wood | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dewey Burke | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter