Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | +8.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +25 (74-49). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Han | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Van Schaick | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. O'Sullivan | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 23 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| G. Nero | 22 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Devin Johnson | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| H. Allen | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Flemming | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Oglesby | 11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| G. Middleton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Buchbinder | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Adrien | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 24 | - |
| A.J. Price | 30 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Johnson | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Austrie | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Wiggins | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jerome Dyson | 16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Kelly | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Robinson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter