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Texas Longhorns 61
@
Michigan State Spartans 63
2006-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 15.1% 84.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% - ✓
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 ✓ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - ✓
Efficiency 81.4% 18.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.8% 62.2% - ✓

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Durant 39 7-19 1-8 6-7 9 1 1 4 2 21 15 -
D.J. Augustin 38 4-8 0-1 0-1 2 6 1 0 1 8 8 -
A.J. Abrams 37 7-19 6-13 2-2 3 2 4 0 2 22 10 -
D. James 31 1-8 0-2 2-4 7 1 1 3 2 4 6 -
J. Mason 27 1-2 0-1 0-1 6 1 0 0 0 2 7 -
M. Hill 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
C. Atchley 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
D. Pittman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Winder 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Neitzel 36 4-10 3-6 4-5 6 6 0 0 3 15 14 -
T. Walton 33 2-4 0-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 5 5 -
D. Naymick 29 2-4 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 0 5 10 -
M. Joseph 27 3-5 3-5 3-4 4 1 1 0 3 12 10 -
G. Suton 26 1-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 2 -3 -
R. Morgan 21 8-15 2-3 0-1 5 0 0 0 2 18 6 -
M. Gray 16 1-6 0-0 1-2 7 1 2 0 2 3 5 -
I. Ibok 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 3 0 0 6 -
I. Dahlman 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter