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2006-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 64.1% 35.9% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 (35.8 off)
Pythagorean 76.1% 23.9% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% -
Log Adjusted 89.4% 10.6% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -28 (47-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Fazekas 34 8-16 0-3 3-4 18 1 0 2 4 19 20 -
K. Shiloh 33 2-5 1-3 1-2 3 5 1 1 2 6 9 -
R. Sessions 30 4-8 0-0 2-2 6 2 2 0 3 10 9 -
M. Kemp 29 11-19 5-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 29 9 -
D. Ikovlev 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
D. Ellis 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 2 8 -
L. Burleson 18 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 -1 -
J. McGee 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 4 7 -
T. Hanson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Fields 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tarver 32 3-9 1-3 0-0 1 5 2 0 1 7 5 -
M. Jones 29 1-12 0-3 1-2 5 0 1 0 2 3 -5 -
K. Jeffers 28 4-7 0-0 2-5 8 0 1 2 1 10 13 -
S. Cuic 25 0-7 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -5 -
S. Tarver 25 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Tsagarakis 16 3-7 1-4 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 11 4 -
W. Washington 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -3 -
J. McGillis 14 2-4 0-2 1-1 0 0 0 1 0 5 2 -
C. Hampton 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
R. Schaftenaar 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
V. Svilar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter