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2006-11-15

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 67.4% 32.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.4% 82.6% -
Log Adjusted 17.2% 82.8% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +13 (82-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Young 34 6-8 0-0 4-4 4 2 0 0 3 16 11 -
J. Balderson 28 4-5 0-1 1-1 2 1 2 0 4 9 5 -
R. Broadus 28 0-6 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 0 -6 -
T. Plaisted 25 3-7 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 0 3 7 1 -
L. Cummard 18 3-5 2-3 1-1 3 2 0 1 1 9 9 -
S. Burgess 18 3-3 3-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 9 10 -
M. Rose 15 3-3 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 9 4 -
V. Ivanovic 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Ainge 12 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 6 5 -
F. Malaman 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Murdock 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 38 6-12 2-4 2-2 3 10 1 0 1 16 17 -
A. Afflalo 34 3-9 1-4 2-4 2 4 2 0 2 9 6 -
L. Mbah a Moute 34 7-10 0-0 10-13 11 2 3 2 3 24 29 -
J. Shipp 32 4-10 1-4 4-4 4 0 1 0 2 13 6 -
L. Mata-Real 21 2-6 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 2 4 1 -
A. Aboya 16 3-3 0-0 3-5 4 0 0 0 2 9 8 -
M. Roll 14 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
J. Keefe 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Wright 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Westbrook 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter