Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +3 (93-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radenovic | 38 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 8-10 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 29 | - |
| J. McClellan | 32 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| M. Williams | 32 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| C. Budinger | 32 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Shakur | 28 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Wise | 15 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Dillon | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Hill | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Walters | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.P. Prince | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary | 37 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 13-14 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| J. Cain | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| M. Diane | 28 | 8-9 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| A. Joseph | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Pettinella | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Tat | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| W. Harris | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Tucker | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter