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2006-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% -
Bradley-Terry 2.7% 97.3% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% -
Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% -
Log Adjusted 68.9% 31.1% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +3 (93-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Radenovic 38 7-8 2-2 8-10 8 5 1 0 1 24 29 -
J. McClellan 32 6-13 4-6 2-2 4 2 1 1 1 18 12 -
M. Williams 32 8-16 0-1 2-5 8 1 0 0 4 18 7 -
C. Budinger 32 7-12 1-3 2-2 5 4 0 0 3 17 11 -
M. Shakur 28 0-5 0-3 5-6 2 6 0 0 4 5 4 -
N. Wise 15 2-6 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 2 -
D. Dillon 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
J. Hill 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
K. Walters 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.P. Prince 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Singletary 37 5-14 2-5 13-14 2 6 2 0 1 25 20 -
J. Cain 34 5-11 0-1 3-4 12 1 2 1 2 13 16 -
M. Diane 28 8-9 5-6 4-4 4 2 2 0 2 25 22 -
A. Joseph 27 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 5 6 -
J.R. Reynolds 21 3-8 0-1 4-7 0 2 1 0 2 10 3 -
L. Mikalauskas 13 1-2 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
R. Pettinella 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
S. Tat 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
W. Harris 10 0-2 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Tucker 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter