Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +43 (86-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Baumann | 26 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Armstrong | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| K.J. Matsui | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Nwachukwu | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Montgomery | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| P. Foley | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Bulger | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Loscalzo | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| N. Scott | 13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Sweet | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Miller | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Nolan | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Bova | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Matthews | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Gately | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 27 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Nelson | 26 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. McRoberts | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| G. Henderson | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Paulus | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. McClure | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Pocius | 19 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Boykin | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| L. Thomas | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Davidson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter