Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✗ (28.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -24 (55-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ford | 34 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| K. Smith | 32 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Nolan | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| S. Cash | 28 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| R. Riley | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Pierson | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Braxton | 14 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| E. Powell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Williams | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Batteast | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Whalen | 29 | 3-16 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -10 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Dydek | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| K. Douglas | 25 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| A. Jones | 23 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| N. Sales | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Phillips | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Willingham | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Summerton | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter