Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 38 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Nolan | 36 | 12-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 16 | - |
| C. Ford | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| R. Riley | 28 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| S. Cash | 23 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| P. Pierson | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| E. Powell | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Braxton | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Holland-Corn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Sales | 33 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 30 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| K. Douglas | 28 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Dydek | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| E. Phillips | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Whalen | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Jones | 21 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Carey | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Willingham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter