Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| L. Leslie | 33 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Mabika | 30 | 7-16 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | - |
| C. Thomas | 27 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Page | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Lewis | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Moore | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Willis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Moore | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lawson | 35 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| N. Powell | 33 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 29 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| D. Walker | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Brunson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Buescher | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Haynie | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter