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2006-08-24

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% -
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: Detroit Shock +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Phillips 38 4-9 3-6 2-3 2 3 2 0 1 13 10 -
L. Whalen 36 4-13 2-5 3-3 6 3 0 0 0 13 9 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 33 6-18 0-1 0-0 9 3 0 2 3 12 5 -
M. Dydek 32 4-13 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 4 1 11 10 -
N. Sales 29 1-6 0-2 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 4 6 -
A. Jones 16 1-11 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 2 -6 -
J. Carey 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
L. Willingham 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 38 6-18 3-5 6-7 3 7 3 0 1 21 15 -
C. Ford 36 4-10 0-0 3-5 23 1 1 0 2 11 24 -
K. Smith 36 7-12 3-5 0-0 5 5 0 0 1 17 14 -
P. Pierson 22 4-14 0-0 3-3 7 1 1 0 3 11 3 -
R. Riley 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 4 3 -
S. Cash 19 3-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 6 4 -
K. Braxton 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
K. Holland-Corn 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter