Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 37 | 7-21 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Chasity Melvin * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 32 | 4-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Crystal Robinson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Coco Miller | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nikki Blue | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zane Tamane | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 34 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 34 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 31 | 6-19 | 1-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8-12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Megan Mahoney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter