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2006-08-13

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 50.3% 49.7% -
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.7 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +10 (81-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 34 1-11 1-7 0-0 7 3 0 2 0 3 4 -
K. Lawson 32 6-11 5-7 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 19 11 -
T. Penicheiro 21 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 1 1 2 4 -
E. Buescher 20 4-7 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 3 12 6 -
D. Walker 18 2-4 0-0 3-5 6 1 2 0 10 7 2 -
H. Maiga-Ba 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 0 4 10 -
R. Brunson 16 4-8 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 9 2 -
Y. Griffith 14 3-5 0-0 5-6 3 0 1 2 2 11 10 -
K. Haynie 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Taurasi 36 11-27 6-15 1-1 6 3 0 0 4 29 7 -
K. Miller 35 4-10 0-2 0-1 3 3 0 0 4 8 0 -
P. Taylor 33 5-13 1-3 7-7 6 2 1 4 2 18 16 -
C. Pondexter 32 7-17 2-4 4-4 3 3 1 0 2 20 8 -
K. Rasmussen 29 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 3 4 1 1 2 13 -
J. Lacy 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Derevjanik 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 2 1 0 2 8 -
B. Snell 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter