Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +5.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +10 (81-71). Ratings: 2007 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 36 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 32 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Erin Perperoglou | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 36 | 11-27 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 34 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter