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2006-08-13

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 10.8% 89.2% - โœ—
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 โœ— (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 18.0% 82.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 20.8% 79.2% - โœ—

Actual: Indiana Fever -7 (73-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Lassiter 36 6-7 4-5 1-2 7 5 1 2 3 17 22 -
Candice Dupree 33 10-14 0-0 4-5 4 2 3 0 4 24 15 -
C. Newton 27 1-6 0-1 5-6 9 2 1 0 2 7 11 -
C. Brown 27 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 2 4 -
B. Ngoyisa 27 7-11 0-0 1-3 5 1 1 1 1 15 11 -
S. Dales 22 4-9 2-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 12 2 -
S. Lovelace 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -6 -
K. Cronin 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Atkinson 24 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 1 2 1 3 3 4 -
E. Hoffman 22 0-6 0-0 3-4 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 -
T. Catchings 21 4-7 1-2 1-1 5 2 1 0 3 10 8 -
C. Smith 21 3-7 3-4 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 10 5 -
A. DeForge 19 4-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 4 -
T. Bevilaqua 18 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 6 5 -
O. Scott 17 3-7 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 1 2 7 4 -
K.B. Sharp 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 7 0 0 0 4 9 -
L. Frohlich 11 2-5 0-0 4-4 4 0 1 0 0 8 8 -
T. Whitmore 11 5-6 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 3 10 4 -

* = starter