Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✗ (26.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -19 (68-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 33 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| A. DeForge | 31 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 29 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| T. White | 23 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 20 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| O. Scott | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Frohlich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| N. Sales | 26 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| E. Phillips | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Dydek | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| L. Whalen | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| A. Jones | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Summerton | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| L. Willingham | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| J. Carey | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Brungo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter