Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +18 (74-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ahearn * | 33 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Thompson * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Easley * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Richards * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Laurie * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Chaney | 30 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Lamberth | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Bilyeu | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - |
| S. Frazier | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Laudermill * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Palacios * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | - |
| T. Dean * | 31 | 7-18 | 5-13 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 10 | - |
| T. Williams * | 31 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| T. Farley * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. McGee | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Johnson | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| C. Millard | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Gianiny | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Current | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter