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2006-08-08

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Margin 59.4% 40.6% -2.1 โœ“ (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky -26 (59-85). Ratings: 2007 season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Erin Phillips * 30 4-8 3-7 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 11 9 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 25 4-8 0-0 3-4 12 2 0 0 3 11 14 -
Katie Douglas * 21 7-14 4-5 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 19 7 -
Lindsay Whalen * 21 3-6 0-2 4-4 8 5 2 0 1 10 18 -
Margo Dydek * 14 0-7 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 1 -1 -
Asjha Jones 21 1-6 0-0 0-0 7 5 3 0 3 2 8 -
Nykesha Sales 18 3-8 0-1 2-2 1 3 2 0 1 8 5 -
Jamie Carey 18 5-6 3-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 13 8 -
Laura Summerton 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
Megan Mahoney 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Le'coe Willingham 8 0-0 0-0 6-8 3 1 0 0 0 6 10 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coretta Brown * 28 3-9 1-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 7 1 -
Stacey Dales * 25 3-11 0-5 1-2 3 4 0 0 1 7 2 -
Candice Dupree * 22 3-12 0-0 2-2 10 2 0 1 4 8 5 -
Stacey Lovelace * 19 4-12 0-3 1-2 7 0 0 1 1 9 4 -
Amanda Lassiter * 17 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 3 3 0 -
Katie Cronin 25 1-8 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 3 -4 -
Chelsea Newton 22 2-2 1-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 9 8 -
Bernadette Ngoyisa 20 4-5 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 2 11 10 -
Liz Moeggenberg 17 1-2 0-1 0-2 2 2 2 1 1 2 6 -

* = starter