Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +31 (99-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mann | 31 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Augustus | 30 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 4 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 24 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 19 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Duffy | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Williams-Jeter | 12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Lewis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 10-17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| P. Taylor | 26 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 25 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 25 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 27 | - |
| K. Miller | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Lacy | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| B. Snell | 15 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Christensen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Smith | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter