Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +16 (96-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Moore | 37 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| L. Leslie | 29 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson | 29 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| M. Page | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| D. Lewis | 22 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| M. Mabika | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T. Moore | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Willis | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| B. Davis | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Thomas | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 12-20 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 28 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 34 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| K. Miller | 34 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| P. Taylor | 22 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Lacy | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Snell | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter