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2006-08-04

Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets Minnesota Lynx Spread Result
Elo 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 โœ— (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.4% 53.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% - โœ—

Actual: Minnesota Lynx -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sheryl Swoopes * 42 11-21 0-4 0-1 3 5 2 0 1 22 10 -
Roneeka Hodges * 41 4-12 3-7 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 13 7 -
Dawn Staley * 39 4-10 2-6 1-2 5 4 2 0 1 11 11 -
Michelle Snow * 39 8-20 0-0 5-7 23 3 3 2 2 21 30 -
Mistie Bass * 16 0-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 -3 -
Astou Ndiaye-Diatta 24 3-11 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 6 2 -
Sancho Lyttle 14 1-3 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 1 1 2 6 -
Anastasia Kostaki 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nicole Ohlde * 42 9-18 0-0 7-10 10 2 0 5 1 25 23 -
Kristen Mann * 41 6-11 3-4 1-2 5 4 0 0 2 16 12 -
Seimone Augustus * 36 4-22 1-3 7-8 2 2 1 0 2 16 -3 -
Amber Jacobs * 30 3-7 1-3 2-4 5 4 0 0 2 9 9 -
Tamika Raymond * 26 2-2 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 0 3 4 12 -
Vanessa Hayden 14 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 3 2 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 12 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Megan Duffy 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Shona Thorburn 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Adrian Williams-Strong 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 -

* = starter