Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +9 (72-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Leslie | 36 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| T. Johnson | 28 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| L. Willis | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Page | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Lewis | 17 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| T. Moore | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Moore | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Thomas | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Mabika | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| B. Davis | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Stansbury | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 34 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| K. Douglas | 32 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Dydek | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| A. Jones | 21 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Whalen | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Carey | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Phillips | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| L. Willingham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Summerton | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter