Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Sting | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +28 (112-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Sting
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mazzante | 26 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| M. Currie | 25 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| S. Sam | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Smith | 21 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. McCarville | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| L. Bond | 17 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Fluker | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Darling | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Feaster | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Walker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 33 | 7-16 | 5-7 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| K. Miller | 29 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 25 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| P. Taylor | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Lacy | 18 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Snell | 10 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Christensen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Smith | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter