Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +14 (66-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cathrine Kraayeveld * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Loree Moore * | 37 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Barbara Farris * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Sherill Baker * | 20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Iciss Tillis | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ashley Battle | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Becky Hammon | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 23 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 27 | 10-19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Laura Summerton | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Megan Mahoney | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Brungo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter