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2006-07-30

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 26.0% 74.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% - โœ“
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seimone Augustus * 32 12-25 3-5 5-5 3 0 1 0 1 32 10 -
Kristen Mann * 29 0-7 0-5 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
Nicole Ohlde * 29 2-7 0-0 5-6 6 1 1 1 4 9 7 -
Tamika Raymond * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
Amber Jacobs * 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Megan Duffy 22 3-7 2-5 5-6 1 0 0 0 1 13 6 -
Adrian Williams-Strong 18 0-1 0-0 4-4 4 0 1 0 1 4 7 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 11 0-4 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
Vanessa Hayden 10 3-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 1 8 6 -
Tynesha Lewis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Loree Moore * 38 4-13 1-4 3-4 4 5 4 1 0 12 13 -
Barbara Farris * 35 8-9 0-0 4-6 4 0 3 1 1 20 18 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld * 33 2-11 0-3 3-4 9 3 2 0 1 7 9 -
Shameka Christon * 30 4-8 2-2 10-10 8 2 0 4 4 20 22 -
Sherill Baker * 18 5-8 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 10 4 -
Ashley Battle 18 0-5 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Erin Thorn 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 5 6 -
Iciss Tillis 8 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 4 4 0 -

* = starter