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2006-07-28

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 โœ“ (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristen Mann * 32 4-7 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 10 6 -
Seimone Augustus * 30 6-16 0-0 5-5 2 1 1 0 2 17 3 -
Amber Jacobs * 25 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 3 0 3 3 2 -
Tamika Raymond * 14 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Nicole Ohlde * 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 4 3 -
Vanessa Hayden 26 7-11 0-0 4-5 8 3 0 1 0 18 19 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 25 0-4 0-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 1 0 -
Adrian Williams-Strong 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 4 2 -
Megan Duffy 10 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Chandi Jones 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Shona Thorburn 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Dupree * 34 7-15 0-0 5-7 4 0 3 0 1 19 10 -
Amanda Lassiter * 33 3-5 1-3 2-2 3 3 2 1 1 9 12 -
Stacey Dales * 33 7-10 6-9 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 20 17 -
Jia Perkins * 31 4-7 0-0 5-5 7 1 1 0 2 13 13 -
Bernadette Ngoyisa * 28 3-9 0-0 4-8 7 4 0 1 2 10 11 -
Coretta Brown 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 3 -
Stacey Lovelace 11 0-6 0-2 2-2 4 0 1 1 1 2 1 -
Chelsea Newton 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 4 -
Liz Moeggenberg 5 1-2 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter