Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Powell | 29 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| K. Lawson | 28 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Brunson | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Walker | 21 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Smith | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| E. Buescher | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| K. Haynie | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| K. Douglas | 35 | 6-19 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| L. Whalen | 33 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| A. Jones | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| E. Phillips | 24 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Dydek | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Carey | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Summerton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter