Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +7 (75-68). Ratings: 2007 season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 28 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Erin Perperoglou * | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 28 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 21 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kim Smith | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 35 | 6-19 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Laura Summerton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter