Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Silver Stars +2 (98-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 35 | 9-21 | 2-10 | 5-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 9 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 34 | 11-19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 12 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 31 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 20 | - |
| K. Miller | 31 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -2 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Snell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Christensen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Silver Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Young-Malcolm | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| V. Johnson | 33 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| S. Johnson | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| A. Bibrzycka | 24 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Zolman | 22 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Wecker | 14 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| D. Ivanyi | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter