Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +0.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Comets +3 (98-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 14-28 | 5-10 | 8-10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41 | 15 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 20 | - |
| K. Miller | 29 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| B. Snell | 17 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Lacy | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Christensen | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Swoopes | 36 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 25 | - |
| T. Kostic | 34 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| R. Hodges | 32 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Ndiaye-Diatta | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Snow | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. Phillips | 14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| A. Kostaki | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Dixon | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Bass | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter