Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +13 (86-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Milton-Jones | 29 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 6 | - |
| A. Beard | 28 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| C. Melvin | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Miller | 24 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| N. Sanford | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. James | 22 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| N. Teasley | 14 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Robinson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Blue | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| L. Koehn | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Z. Teilane | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 35 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 21 | - |
| K. Douglas | 35 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 9-11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 19 | - |
| L. Whalen | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| E. Phillips | 30 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| M. Dydek | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| A. Jones | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Carey | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter