Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✗ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -18 (61-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 32 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 29 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 20 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Megan Mahoney | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Laura Summerton | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brooke Queenan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Katie Mattera * | 31 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Agnieszka Bibrzycka * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Shannon Johnson * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Shanna Zolman | 22 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Kendra Wecker | 21 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dalma Ivanyi | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jae Kingi-Cross | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter