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2006-07-22

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 โœ“ (36.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 61.0% 39.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—

Actual: New York Liberty -37 (54-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tiffani Johnson 31 4-9 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 2 0 9 7 -
Iziane Castro Marques 26 10-12 3-4 3-3 2 1 1 1 2 26 17 -
Lauren Jackson 26 7-13 2-5 2-2 9 3 1 1 0 18 19 -
Ashley Robinson 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 3 0 2 7 -
Tanisha Wright 22 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 2 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 2 4 9 -
Sue Bird 19 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 10 9 -
Betty Lennox 18 7-11 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 14 8 -
Barbara Turner 16 2-3 0-1 0-1 1 2 0 0 3 4 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Loree Moore 30 1-6 1-3 0-0 6 3 1 0 3 3 4 -
Barbara Farris 29 2-6 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld 27 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 6 2 -
Shameka Christon 26 2-6 0-2 2-6 2 1 2 2 1 6 6 -
Erin Thorn 23 6-9 4-5 3-4 0 0 0 0 2 19 8 -
Iciss Tillis 19 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 1 -
Ashley Battle 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Sherill Baker 14 0-7 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 -7 -
Kiesha Brown 6 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Ambrosia Anderson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Christelle N'Garsanet 5 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter