Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -5 (68-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 32 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jessica Moore * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tamara Moore * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chamique Holdsclaw | 30 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Murriel Page | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Lisa Willis | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Stansbury | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Doneeka Lewis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 36 | 12-20 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 32 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tan White | 17 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Linda Frohlich | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| La'Tangela Atkinson | 8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter