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2006-07-20

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 โœ“ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“

Actual: Connecticut Sun +14 (86-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jia Perkins * 30 8-15 5-6 0-0 3 6 1 1 1 21 16 -
Bernadette Ngoyisa * 24 5-8 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 0 1 14 12 -
Chelsea Newton * 24 1-4 1-4 0-2 3 3 3 0 2 3 6 -
Candice Dupree * 20 6-10 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 12 8 -
Amanda Lassiter * 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 0 -
Stacey Dales 19 0-6 0-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 -3 -
Stacey Lovelace 17 3-8 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 6 3 -
Liz Moeggenberg 17 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 7 3 -
Coretta Brown 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Deanna Jackson 10 1-6 0-1 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
Elaine Powell 8 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 2 -2 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Douglas * 27 6-14 3-6 4-4 5 2 0 0 0 19 12 -
Erin Phillips * 25 1-2 0-1 4-4 2 6 1 0 3 6 10 -
Lindsay Whalen * 24 1-5 0-3 4-4 3 7 0 0 3 6 8 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 23 8-10 0-0 1-2 8 1 3 0 2 17 17 -
Margo Dydek * 19 6-11 0-0 0-1 6 2 0 4 0 12 13 -
Asjha Jones 20 7-9 1-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 15 13 -
Jamie Carey 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
Laura Summerton 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Megan Mahoney 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 2 4 -
Le'coe Willingham 12 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Brooke Queenan 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter